Thursday 16 June 2011

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The Great Reflation: How Investors Can Profit From the New World of Money, by J. Anthony Boeckh

A guide to understanding and thriving in today's new economic environment

Now that the housing and credit bubbles have burst, toppling banks and sending shockwaves through the stock market and around the world, it may seem like the worst has passed. But the full impact of the crises we have recently faced will create far more problems, and unless you're prepared, you'll struggle to regain your financial footing.

In The Great Reflation, author Tony Boeckh helps you understand how these crises, and the policies passed to jumpstart the economy, will play out for investments and business, and provides you with the tools to excel in today's rapidly evolving financial landscape.�He reveals how similar episodes compare with the current crises and what this could mean for your financial future.

  • Arms you with practical insights that will allow you to evaluate different investment options
  • Explores the implications of the end of the private debt cycle, the possible rise of a new age of thrift, and the new government debt crisis
  • Reveals how you can profit from once-in-a-lifetime opportunities as well as proper portfolio allocation strategies

While things may never return to "normal," you can still make choices that will allow you to prosper. This book will show you how.

  • Sales Rank: #981698 in Books
  • Published on: 2010-05-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.18" w x 6.30" l, 1.15 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 336 pages

Review
"Tony Boeckh analyzes clearly the frightening range of factors contributing to the recent financial crisis. If that doesn't make you think carefully, his investment strategies for a world still facing high levels of risk will certainly have you riveted."
—Hon Michael Wilson, Former Ambassador from Canada to the United States; Former Canadian Finance Minister

“The Great Reflation is essential reading for serious, thinking investors everywhere.� Who better than Tony to show us how this will all end, and even more important, how to position our investments and our lives to make sure we not only survive, but prosper.”�
— John Mauldin, Editor, Thoughts from the Frontline; 3 time New York Times Bestselling Author; President, Millennium Wave Investments

“This book is a must read. Tony, from all his years guiding the excellent analytic work of the Bank Credit Analyst presents a realistic outline of the post- crisis world, the many challenges, and the exciting and unpredictable times ahead.”
—Jim O’Neil, Head of Global Economic Research, Goldman Sachs

“The Great Reflation is by far the best economic and investment book which I have read in the last 10 years. He is a seasoned historian, economist, and strategist with a unique ability to explain complex issues in simple, readable terms.”
—Marc Faber, Editor, The Gloom Boom & Doom Report

“This book is written by one of the long-standing and highly recognized veterans in the field of investments.� In highly readable form, it covers important forces influencing investments and a very detailed evaluation of the key sectors of investment opportunities.”
—Henry Kaufman, Henry Kaufman & Company Inc.

“Tony Boeckh is a first rate investment intellect whose work I have read for years, and his thoughts on the crisis are well-worth reading and contemplating.”
— Barton M. Biggs, Managing Partner, Traxis Partners; Author, Hedgehogging and Wealth, War, and Wisdom

"The Great Reflation is part history, part theory, part textbook and part prophesy- lucid, persuasive and a good read. The title says it all. It will have a place on my shelves and I expect many others.”
—Brian Reading, Founder of Lombard Street Research World Service, Former Advisor to UK Treasury and to the Governor of the Bank of England

“Tony pioneered the concept of debt Supercycle in the 1970s and his The�Great Reflation has proven that he is the ultimate macro thinker. This book is a must read for all investors who strive for financial success in an extremely risky world.”
— Chen Zhao, Chief Global Strategist and Managing Editor, Bank Credit Analyst Research Group

“Weaving together today's unprecedented� and complex economic, monetary, and investment conditions, Tony lays out the uncomfortable truths that investors must understand and deal with in order to protect capital and invest profitably in the years ahead.”
—Eldon Mayer, Former CEO and CIO of Lynch & Mayer, Inc.; New York-based Institutional Asset Manager

“Few people know as much as Tony Boeckh does about the relationships between the economies and the financial markets. In his book, he gives us a much needed road map on how to invest given the tremendous convulsions we are going through. It is a must read for very investor.”
— Charles Gave, Chairman, GaveKal Research

Most helpful customer reviews

58 of 61 people found the following review helpful.
Complex Subject simplified
By andre h
Perhaps my expectations were too high about this book but in short I was a tad let down. As for the positives:
* The book was very clearly written
* Complex topics were explained in the most basic of terms
* The book did an outstanding job of Illustrating the macro monetary situation we are in currently in by examining the recent and current financial situation, the fed's intervention and the like.

The juciest section for me was Section 1 where the Author painted an elaborate and elegant picture as to the situation we are in and how unprecedented it is. Atop of this he covered disciplines that one needs to understand in order to frame the picture that we are now in the midst of: historical contexts, long wave cycles, etc and he also does an excellent job of providing facts and charts which illustrates his points in the clearest of terms. He tends to allude to where things may be headed but never says it outright. So its pretty gripping - and like good Hitchcock movie it feels like foreshadowing of really great things that he will cover later in the book. Bravo for section 1 - get the book for this reason alone.

I was a bit disappointed in the second section - namely the investment section:
* the book did an excellent job of going through the different investment options one may face in the current environment yet I felt it was overly simplistic in some cases -- while the complexity of the first section was closer to what I expected, the investing section felt a bit like a "beginners guide" - perhaps too simplistic.

Finally, I was also disappointed as the book didn't make any predictions. As I said before, the first section felt like he was foreshadowing a story that he would weave together in the final section - telling you what may happening, how to prepare, what to invest in etc. However true to the form of a good economist, the Author did NOT make predictions. This felt a little bit unfulfilling.

Instead he explained where we are and that the data will determine which direction we head (deflation vs inflation) and gave us the tools to understand how we may determine this ourselves over the coming years. No bold conclusions as to what to expect, no intellectual catharsis. It kind of fell flat for me -- as sometimes I am looking for an opinion from a wiser, more experienced Sage -- not just a guidebook as to what to look for in the field.

(But again maybe that was the point of the book -- that there is massive uncertainty out there and there are no guarantees where we are headed following the "great experiment" we have undertaken.)

If the book didnt leave me yearning for an opinion or if it had taught me some new investing angles I would have given it a 5* however. I still would wholeheartedly recommend this book to anyone who is a concerned investor for the first section alone; just dont expect a compass that will tell you what to do. Instead think of it as a field guide for how to think for yourself and make your own predictions. Still a good read.

20 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
good book
By Bayview
The author talks about liquidity, credit, banking, economy, asset markets with depth, historical perspective, reason and clarity. He also has a good grasp of politics and how it influencs people's pocket book. The author has a wealth of knowledge and lays it all out in the book in a way that is easy to follow.

The book gives the reader a very good understanding of the big picture and the macro factors that affect it. I learned quite a few things.

The reasons that I can not give it a 5 stars is because

1 There is very limited coverage of equity selection. For example, what type of equities will do better relatively in an inflationary period, or the characteristics of different equities and how to select them. The author talks about equity as a whole and at a high level.

2 The author gives the Federal Reserve too high a grade. His evaluation of the incentives of the Federal Reserve system and the motives of the people running the Federal Reserve is too high and off the mark. He also praised the Fed for saving the world from a total collapse (in 2008-2009), which can never be proved true or imaginary.

Despite these short comings, investors can most likely benefit from this book.

8 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
buyer beware
By Amazon Customer
I have read several investment books. This was one of the most exciting, until I discovered that all of the graphs he suggest you use, to track where you are at any time in the business cycle (boom/bust cycle) are unavailable to the average person on Yahoo, MSN, or Bloomberg. Now he conveniently offers a newletter for $2000 per year, so you can get access to this data. If it smells like a duck....

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Tuesday 14 June 2011

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Income Tax Fundamentals 2016, by Gerald E. Whittenburg, Steven Gill, Martha Altus-Buller

Discover a concise, practical, and time-tested introduction to the most important areas of tax law with INCOME TAX FUNDAMENTALS 2016. For more than 30 years, this book has led the market with a clear, step-by-step workbook format that walks you through real examples using actual tax forms. With plentiful study tools and online resources, INCOME TAX FUNDAMENTALS 2016 helps you master the knowledge and practical skills to become a successful tax preparer.
Important Notice: Media content referenced within the product description or the product text may not be available in the ebook version.

  • Sales Rank: #547208 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-12-04
  • Released on: 2015-12-04
  • Format: Kindle eBook

About the Author
On March 8, 2015, we unexpectedly lost our dear friend and co-author Gene Whittenburg. As the original author of INCOME TAX FUNDAMENTALS, Gene was critical in designing the forms-based approach that the book has used successfully for more than two decades. It is simply not possible to quantify the degree of our loss. Gene started his life in small-town Texas; entered the Navy; served his country in Vietnam, earned Bachelor's, Master's and Ph.D. degrees; and served as a distinguished faculty member at San Diego State University for almost 40 years. The outpouring of sorrow and gratitude from countless former students and colleagues are a wonderful tribute to Gene's love and devotion to teaching. We intend to continue to honor Gene by upholding his standard of publishing excellence for many years to come.

Dr. Steven Gill is an Assistant Professor of accounting and taxation in the Charles W. Lamden School of Accountancy at San Diego State University. He received a B.S. in Accounting from the University of Florida, a M.S. in Taxation from Northeastern University and a Ph.D. in Accounting from the University of Massachusetts. Prior to entering academia, Dr. Gill worked almost 12 years in the field of accounting, serving in key roles in public accounting, internal audit, corporate accounting and, ultimately, vice president of finance. Although currently in inactive status, Dr. Gill held a Certified Public Accountant designation. His research interests include a concentration in taxation including mutual funds and college savings ("529") plans and wider interests in the behavior of taxpayers when facing taxes with little or no enforcement. Dr. Gill has published a wide variety of articles in various academic and practitioner journals. He has taught at both the undergraduate and graduate levels with a focus on teaching taxation and financial accounting.

Martha Altus-Buller is a CPA with more than 25 years of tax accounting experience. She attended Reed College in Portland, Oregon for two years, holds a B.A. in Mathematics from the University of California at San Diego and a M.S. in Accounting from San Diego State University. Ms. Altus Buller was awarded the Sells award for scoring among the top in the country on the May 1983 CPA exam. Her practical experience includes work as a tax manager for Arthur Young, now Ernst & Young, one of the Big 8 accounting firms at the time.

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Pitiful!
By Paul Gott
Cengage access code missing. Cost me another 185.00 for code.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Overpriced but decent
By C. Murphy
The book is fine. It's outrageously overpriced just like every textbook and several basic pieces of information are incorrect for the current tax year (several tax tables). For the price the publisher insists on charging, it should be PERFECT. But it's written in a way that's understandable and it at least gets the job done.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Necessary Purchase for Class but Overpriced
By PurchReader2
A necessary book to purchase for class. However, DO NOT purchase if you need CENGAGENOW-this is not the bundle offer, just as the description stated it only comes with the H&R Block access code. Fairly easy to read and there were some chapters that needed more clarification that can be obtain through class discussion. I agree that this book is overpriced. The best thing was that It arrived on time as promised.

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Friday 10 June 2011

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Suicide Squad Vol. 2: Basilisk Rising (The New 52)

  • Sales Rank: #4896751 in Books
  • Published on: 1994
  • Binding: Paperback

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An Account of the Discovery of Tahiti, from the Journal of George Robertson, Master of H.M.S. Dolphin., by George. Edited

  • Published on: 1955
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Thursday 9 June 2011

[C367.Ebook] Free Ebook Mapping the Markets: A Guide to Stock Market Analysis, by Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths

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Mapping the Markets: A Guide to Stock Market Analysis, by Deborah Owen, Robin Griffiths

The global financial markets turn over billions of dollars daily. An array of different instruments is available to trade in these markets, ranging from simple stocks and shares to exotic creatures such as butterfly spreads. Participation at any level involves taking a view as to which way the market in question will move. There are essentially only two methods for analysing the future direction of the markets in equities, currencies, interest rates or commodities: one involves fundamental analysis, the other technical analysis. The two camps of investment analysts are separated by a wide gulf of distrust and suspicion. This book seeks to bridge the gap between the two disciplines and show how you can benefit from both, highlighting: •��The tools you can use for mapping the markets—to understand what causes shifts in the trend and underlying forces that affect the economy and therefore the financial markets
•�The long-term cyclical drivers—how economic change is triggered by technological change, and the technological changes that will drive the markets in the future
•�Downward phases of the cycle—and the factors that cause them
•�The markets and sectors that will prosper in the future.

As the world of investment gets ever more complicated and faster, Mapping the Markets will provide an invaluable route to improving your chances of investment success and avoiding investment distress, whether you are a long-term investor or a short-term trader.

  • Sales Rank: #2555401 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Bloomberg Press
  • Published on: 2006-10-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.50" h x .70" w x 5.80" l, .65 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 134 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
“Mapping the Markets explains clearly why markets move in cycles and, furthermore, it spells out where you should invest to profit from the next big wave of industrialisation and innovation. It is essential reading for all investors.”
—John Murphy
Author of Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets and Intermarket Analysis

About the Author
Deborah Owen is managing director of Investment Research of Cambridge (IRC). Founded in 1945, IRC�was one of the first companies in the UK to specialise in technically-based research and it has a global reputation for the quality of its analysis of the financial markets. Owen started working in the City of London as a financial journalist for Euromoney magazine. She then worked as a currency strategist for Chemical Bank and Charterhouse Bank before starting her own financial publishing business. She is a fellow of the Society of Technical Analysts and edits the society’s journal. She is also coauthor of EMU in Perspective, published in 1999.

Robin Griffiths has worked in the financial markets since 1964. He is currently head of global investment strategy at Rathbones, a leading UK investment firm. From 1986 to 2002 he was HSBC’s senior technical analyst, publishing commentary on world stockmarkets, bonds, currencies and commodities. Prior to that he worked at Grieves and Grant, W.I. Carr and Phillips & Drew. A former chairman of the International Federation of Technical Analysts, he is a fellow of the Society of Technical Analysts and is a regular commentator on BLOOMBERG NEWS�. For twenty-five years he wrote the Amateur Chartist newsletter.

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
A MUST read for all investors
By Mr. R. Williams
It is a privilege to commend this book to the great multitude of investors, traders and analysts, who are eager to enhance their knowledge of the global financial markets - whether in equities, currencies, interest rates or commodities.

"Mapping the Markets", the brainchild of two well-known practitioners in the world of technical research; Deborah Owen and Robin Griffiths, amalgamate the disciplines of economic and technical analysis, showing how investors can position themselves to benefit from both specialties.

The authors expound on the work of Joseph Schumpeter - this being the backbone of their methodology - and illustrate how Schumpeter's 'three-cycle schema' culminate in trends in the stockmarket that last for generational periods of time (secular timeframes) or in cycles of shorter duration. Particularly interesting is the revelation of the four-year cycle in the US stockmarket, otherwise dubbed the Kitchin cycle in Schumpeter's work, and is shown to have become phase-locked with the US presidential-election cycle.

At the microscopic level, the authors share a unique system for identifying Stocks and conducting top-down analysis that begets from the four-year cycle. The methodology aims to identify the strongest trending markets and stocks based on short, long and relative strength trends and is particularly useful for determining sector rotation within the business cycle. Having applied this analysis, they illustrate simple chart patterns that can be utilised in conjunction with this methodology to sharpen market timing.

On another note, the book is instrumental in revealing how more esoteric
concepts like demographics and natural resource allocation are key in paving the economic destinies of countries and is apropos in interpreting China and India's boom story.

Finally, it is worth highlighting that the primary strength of this book is separating the wheat from the chaff to provide a no-nonsense approach to deciphering financial markets in their changing landscapes.

I only wish that I had this book ten years ago!

Ron William - Bloomberg

4 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
A must-have for any one interested in market patterns
By Georgina Guy
Mapping the Markets is a lucidly written and carefully explained book which focuses on the cyclical changes of the market. The trends recognised have been extremely accurate and this book equips the reader with the skills to detect forthcoming market fluctuations. As an investor this book has become a crucial point of reference when investing in the stockmarket and I would thoroughly recommend it to anyone with an interest in the field.

2 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Great summary of investment gudelines
By Luis Tarabillo A�ez
Mapping the markets takes you through a global view of today's markets with macroeconomics , technical analysis, demographic trends and a quick review of issues such as energy and biotechnology to date, that it gives a very wide and complete insight into what happens and especially why things happen in the markets. A must have for anyone begining studies of the stockmarkets.

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[G943.Ebook] PDF Ebook The Essential Guide to Primary Care Procedures (Mayeaux, Essential Guide to Primary Care Procedures), by E. J. Mayeaux Jr MD

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The Essential Guide to Primary Care Procedures (Mayeaux, Essential Guide to Primary Care Procedures), by E. J. Mayeaux Jr  MD

Perform today’s essential office procedures with confidence!

Packed with more than 1,500 full-color illustrations,�The Essential Guide to Primary Care Procedures, 2nd Edition, is your go-to guide to more than 125 of the key medical procedures commonly performed in an office setting. This hands-on manual provides step-by-step, illustrated instructions for each procedure, as well as indications, contraindications, CPT codes, average U.S. charges for each procedure, and more. From the basic (cerumen removal and simple interrupted sutures) to the complex (colonoscopy and chest tube placement), this atlas covers the vast majority of skills you’ll use in your day-to-day practice.

  • Stay up to date with new procedures and equipment, including dorsal penile block, peripheral nerve blocks, topical anesthesia, hand-held ultrasound, electrodessication and curettage, dermoscopy, aesthetic procedures, Wood's slide examination,�and more.
  • Perform procedures more effectively and avoid common mistakes�with popular “pearls and pitfalls” sections.
  • Go beyond the basics�with coverage of complications, post-procedures and pediatric considerations, and evidence-based references in each chapter.
  • Get complete, practical coverage in every chapter, including background information on each procedure; indications and contraindications; sequential instructions, pictures�and illustrations of the procedure; bulleted pitfalls and pearls; suggested CPT codes and average charges; and references.
  • More evidence based medicine, with referencing throughout the chapters and appendices.
  • View handy compilations of information applicable to many procedures, recommendations, and other practical information in the appendices.
  • A great reference for the novice proceduralist who is learning procedures, or for the establish clinician who wishes to update or brush up on their knowledge.
Now with the print edition, enjoy the bundled interactive eBook edition, offering tablet, smartphone, or online access to:
  • More than�100 patient education handouts
  • Videos of common procedures�Complete content with enhanced navigation
  • Powerful search�tools and smart navigation cross-links that pull results from content in the book, your notes, and even the web
  • Cross-linked pages, references, and more for easy navigation
  • Highlighting tool�for easier reference of key content throughout the text
  • Ability to�take and share notes�with friends and colleagues
  • Quick reference tabbing�to save your favorite content for future use

  • Sales Rank: #306446 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-06-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.10" h x 1.70" w x 8.70" l, .84 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 1052 pages

Review
4-Star Review from Doody's Review Service!

"This remains one of the best, if not the best, book for understanding and learning how to perform the basic outpatient procedures in the primary care office. The first edition was published in 2009.�Because the purpose of this book is to teach, the editor describes the focus of this second edition as breaking down each procedure into its component parts and illustrating techniques to give primary care and emergency medicine providers the skills necessary to provide primary care services. The editor and contributors have continued the work begun with the first edition.�The audience includes primary care and emergency medicine providers, resident or attending, as well as the nursing and technical staff who are called upon to prepare patients and assist in the procedure. For the most part, the contributors are highly experienced practitioners and teachers.�The value of this book lies in the completeness of the information, the explanations of the important aspects of the procedure, indications and contraindications, the equipment lists, the pictures and videos of the procedure, and the CPT billing codes associated with the procedures.�This continues to be a most necessary addition to every training program in primary care or emergency medicine. It is one of the best books on outpatient procedures -- there are few that come close."

Reviewed by�Vincent F Carr, DO, MSA, FACC, FACP(Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences) on behalf of Doody's Review Service

Weighted Numerical Score: 94 - 4 Stars!

Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
primary procedures
By Eli's mom
This book is excellent! It is clear,concise and has step-by-step instructions for common office procedures; as well as photographs. This book will definately improve your clinical skills and performance. I highly recommend.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
excellent but pictures too small
By Z
This book is excellent and covers the subject matter well. However, the accompanying pictures (in the Kindle edition) are way too small and low resolution if you try to magnify them. Keep in mind, this is the Kindle edition I am reviewing, and I have not seen the hardback print edition. I'm not sure why the pictures are low rez, but it may be to decrease file size and have it download quickly. I would submit that those who are going to use this book would benefit from higher resolution / larger illustrations, and are not overly concerned about being able to download the book in 20 seconds (which it did). I would much rather have better pictures and a larger download. The accompanying pictures do a good job of adding to the text otherwise.

I'm giving 3 stars to the Kindle Edition because I feel the illustrations are such an important part of the book.

Otherwise, this book is excellent and recommended.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Helpful reference guide for variety of procedures
By Christopher Chang
Well organized, easy to reference lay out for each procedure. Especially like the red flags, things to look out for, and post procedure care tips. Covers a lot of the procedures that are done commonly in the office, as well as many that are more specialized. Good for a quick refresher if you haven't done a procedure in awhile, or if you are looking to learn a new procedure related to something you already know how to do. Might be a little tough to use as a stand alone resource for something you have never done and are completely unfamiliar with, eg chest tube placement, though it does walk you through each step very clearly.

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[Q325.Ebook] Free PDF Meditation for Starters, by Swami Kriyananda

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Meditation for Starters, by Swami Kriyananda

This award-winning book offers simple but powerful guidelines for attaining inner peace. Perfect for both beginning and long-time meditators alike, Meditation for Starters helps you to realize that all of life's activities are enhanced if they are started with meditation. The CD contains a clear, powerful explanation of meditation, followed by 30 minutes of guided visualization.

Note: The Kindle edition of this book does not include any CDs or DVDs.

  • Sales Rank: #1654349 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2008-08-04
  • Released on: 2008-09-25
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
It's okay
By Blessed Bee
This is good for beginners--beginners. It helps you to visualize and relax but don't expect deep contact from within.

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Wednesday 8 June 2011

[K644.Ebook] Ebook Download Germany: A History, by Francis Russell

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Germany: A History, by Francis Russell

Germany: A History, by Francis Russell



Germany: A History, by Francis Russell

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Germany: A History, by Francis Russell

Here, from New York Times bestselling historian Richard Russell, is the dramatic story of Germany - from the rise of Charlemagne to the age of Martin Luther, from the Thirty Years' War to the iron rule of Otto von Bismarck, and from the formation of the Weimar Republic to the fighting of two world wars.

  • Sales Rank: #256566 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-12-10
  • Released on: 2015-12-10
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

92 of 93 people found the following review helpful.
lots of interesting info, easy to read
By Mageditor
I bought this book because I had never learned enough about Germany, even though I suffered through two years of German in college.

It provided an excellent overview that was easy to read, yet provided lots of interesting details. For example, we learn that Caesar wrote that Germans spent their whole life in hunting and the practice of war. A few years later, Tacitus reported that the Germans were a “fair-haired, fiercely blue-eyed people who hated peace.” Yet the author points out that by the 20th Century, Germany was the most racially mixed country in Europe, despite the fictions of Aryan purity spread by Wagner, Kaiser William, and Hitler.

The book covers a lot of ground and many personalities and events, including the Roman and Medieval periods, Charlemagne, the Renaissance, and the Holy Roman Empire. The book seemed a little superficial at times, especially when covering the First and Second World Wars, but those events are richly described elsewhere. The book clips along at a good pace and provides much interesting material.

Bismarck – the “Iron Chancellor” and Europe’s foremost statesman at the time – brilliantly united the North German Confederation in the 1860s with the kingdoms of Bavaria, Saxony, and Wurttemberg, as well as five grand duchies, thirteen other duchies and principalities, and the free cities of Hamburg, Bremen, and Lubeck.

This new “Second Empire” of Germany was “florid and prosperous… the new-rich nation of Europe, with all the arriviste confidence of wealth and the arrogance bred of insecurity,” observes the author.

The history of Germany reads like a tragic epic whose ending we know, as we watch succeeding generations bring about horrendous cataclysms. With “uncompromising belligerency,” Bismarck brings on the brutal Franco-Prussian War in 1871. His successors as Chancellor continue the tradition, helping to create the Agadir Crisis in Morocco and two wars in the Balkans.
“Each ensuring crisis was like a wave that surged farther and farther up the beach until, at the last moment, it receded,” writes the author. “The haunting fear was of the one wave that would not recede, that would finally engulf the shoreline.”

That disaster came to pass in 1914, a “year fated to destroy dynasties, alter the map of Europe, and usher in the age of violence that is still with us,” notes the author. For many Americans today, World War I seems a terrible accident suddenly brought on by the assassination of a minor duke. But the author makes clear that it was the result of years of growing tension, and of “militarism run stark mad,” as President Wilson’s envoy to fruitless peace talks, Col. Edward House, said.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Rp Walters
Very detailed and fascinating

3 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Basic but good read.
By Amazon Customer
Wanted more detailed time line of events in the 19th century.
Esp 1872 +/- 20 years. Geneology research of German roots.

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Sunday 5 June 2011

[E146.Ebook] Free Ebook Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life in the Bioengineered Society of the Near Future, by Michael Bess

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Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life in the Bioengineered Society of the Near Future, by Michael Bess

Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life in the Bioengineered Society of the Near Future, by Michael Bess



Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life in the Bioengineered Society of the Near Future, by Michael Bess

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Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life in the Bioengineered Society of the Near Future, by Michael Bess

A panoramic overview of biotechnologies that can endlessly boost human capabilities and the drastic changes these “superhuman” traits could trigger

Biotechnology is moving fast. In the coming decades, advanced pharmaceuticals, bioelectronics, and genetic interventions will be used not only to heal the sick but to boost human physical and mental performance to unprecedented levels. People will have access to pills that make them stronger and faster, informatic devices will interface seamlessly with the human brain, and epigenetic modification may allow people to reshape their own physical and mental identities at will.

Until recently, such major technological watersheds—like the development of metal tools or the industrialization of manufacturing—came about incrementally over centuries or longer. People and social systems had time to adapt: they gradually developed new values, norms, and habits to accommodate the transformed material conditions. But contemporary society is dangerously unprepared for the dramatic changes it is about to experience down this road on which it is already advancing at an accelerating pace.

The results will no doubt be mixed. People will live longer, healthier lives, will fine-tune their own thought processes, and will generate staggeringly complex and subtle forms of knowledge and insight. But these technologies also threaten to widen the rift between rich and poor, to generate new forms of social and economic division, and to force people to engage in constant cycles of upgrades and boosts merely to keep up. Individuals who boost their traits beyond a certain threshold may acquire such extreme capabilities that they will no longer be recognized as unambiguously human.

In this important and timely book, prize-winning historian Michael Bess provides a clear, nontechnical overview of cutting-edge biotechnology and paints a vivid portrait of a near-future society in which bioenhancement has become a part of everyday life. He surveys the ethical questions raised by the enhancement enterprise and explores the space for human agency in dealing with the challenges that these technologies will present.

Headed your way over the coming decades: new biotechnologies that can powerfully alter your body and mind.

The possibilities are tantalizing:

•�Rejuvenation therapies offering much longer lives (160 and even beyond) in full vigor and mental acuity
•�Cognitive enhancement through chemical or bioelectronic means (the rough equivalent of doubling or tripling IQ scores)
•�Epigenetic tools for altering some of your genetically influenced traits at any point in your lifetime (body shape, athletic ability, intelligence, personality)
•�Bioelectronic devices for modulating your own brain processes, including your “pleasure centers” (a potentially non-stop high)
•�Direct control of machines by thought, and perhaps direct communication with other people, brain-to-brain (a new dimension of sharing and intimacy)

But some of the potential consequences are also alarming:

•�A growing rift between the biologically enhanced and those who can’t afford such modifications
•�A constant cycle of upgrades and boosts as the bar of “normal” rises ever higher—“Humans 95, Humans XP, Humans 8”
•�The fragmentation of humankind into rival “bioenhancement clusters”
•�A gradually blurring boundary between “person” and “product”
•�Extreme forms of self-modification, with some individuals no longer recognized as unambiguously human


From the Hardcover edition.

  • Sales Rank: #134941 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-09-06
  • Released on: 2016-09-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.80" h x 1.00" w x 5.80" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 320 pages

Review
“In the future, accelerating technology and unexpected, revolutionary events—most of which will never be predicted by futurists—may produce a society as alien as some of our tools. Bess delivers an insightful philosophical analysis of how we must adjust.”
—Kirkus Reviews

“Rejuvenation therapies that could potentially extend human lifespans to 160 years or more, chemical or bioelectronic cognitive enhancement that could double or triple IQ scores, bioelectronic devices for modulating brain processes including ‘pleasure centers,’ so-called ‘designer babies,’ and much more are poised to cross the threshold from science fiction to reality in the near future. Michael Bess offers a sober prediction of how such advances will directly affect human society, and the ethical dilemmas that could result. Our Grandchildren Redesigned is fascinating from cover to cover and near-impossible to put down. Highly recommended!”
—The Midwest Book Review


From the Hardcover edition.

About the Author
Michael Bess is the Chancellor’s Professor of History at Vanderbilt University. He has received major fellowships from the J. S. Guggenheim Foundation, the American Council of Learned Societies, the National Human Genome Research Institute, the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, and the Fulbright program. His previous books include Choices Under Fire and The Light-Green Society.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A decent high level book on the subject that is really for the novice
By Yoda
This is a review of the unabridged MP3 version of this work

Any review of this book would have to start out by mentioning the fact that the author, Michael Bess, is a Professor of history specializing in the social and cultural impacts of technology. This is the direction the book comes from. The author looks at this subject from this particular angle. Those interested in a detailed analysis and discussion of the specific technologies, in particular electrical or mechanical, that will enable the modifications of humans over the next 40 or so years should instead see the relevant chapters of Ray Kurzweil’s “The Singularity is Near”. The few chapters of that book do an excellent chapter at discussing the technologies in detail and from the perspective of Dr Kurzweil (i.e., from the view of an electrical engineer).

Dr. Bess starts off his book with a handful of chapters providing a high level view of the various technologies that may enable humanity to modify itself. He provides a discussion of pharmaceuticals, bioelectronics, genetics and other technologies that he believes will make this possible. As stated previously however, this discussion is very high level. It is not for the knowledgeable or for those who seek a more detailed examination of these technologies or, for that matter, anyone with anything more than an introductory level of (or no) knowledge regarding these technologies.

Then Dr. Bess goes into various social issues such as impact on inequality, discrimination, competitiveness between humans, etc. In regard to this he proves, at least in this reviewer’s opinion, more successful than in his discussion of the technologies. Given he is a history professor specializing in the impact of these technologies this is no surprise.

Dr. Bess then goes into how this will impact humanity’s identity, a particularly important question considering that these technologies can (and probably will) change the meaning of being human. This is not only in terms of extending the lifespan of humans, which will have a minimal impact on humanity’s identity, but in terms of many of the impacts of specific technologies. For example, modifications to the brain that will permit humans to process large amounts of information in a parallel method (like today’s “thinking” supercomputers such as Watson) will blur the line of time in the thought process. We will be able to think not in one string of thought at any one time but in many. We may end up having more “artificial” components within us than “natural”. Humans may be able to communicate via thought and networks instead of through voice (and hence be able to communicate with large numbers of other persons or machines simultaneously). All this implies humanity looking more android than human. More specifically, more like the “Borg” from “Star Trek: The Next Generation”.

Dr. Bess, like many others including technologists, is careful to point out that not only will there be positives with human modification (i.e., extended lifespan, mitigation or elimination of many diseases, ability for greater accomplishments due to greater abilities, etc.) but there will also be dangers. Dangers include not only the impact on social structures (i.e., creation of underclass among those unable to afford cutting edge technologies, etc.) and on humanity’s identity but simply dangers stemming from the direct technological uncertainty on implementing this technology in terms of, say, physiology. For example, pharmaceuticals that enable one to keep all facts in one’s memory, as opposed to forgetting, may lead some unforeseen effects on the brain. Too much information input may lead to a society where anxiety and neurosis may run amuck. And so on. He warns that humanity will have to move slowly so as to be able to spot such problems before it is too late. International cooperation is something else he also emphasizes to this end. Considering the zero sum game such technologies will have on people and societies (i.e., the individual or society who chooses to wait will fall behind in ability to find work, the world pecking order, etc.) though many of his recommendations, in this regard, seem little more than wishful thinking.

Dr. Hess concludes by emphasizing that people will have to be selective in the implants and modifications they should adopt. They will have to think first and really, really know themselves. Knowing oneself is not a recommendation that is recent though. Socrates gave that advice 25 centuries ago. “Know thyself” is one of his most famous maxims. Yet, despite this, this has still been a problem since. Few people seem to have been able to answer this question and to act upon it in a meaningful way. Why would anyone expect this to change in the future? Hence how will humans of the future be able to make the correct choices as to how to modify themselves?

In short, this book is geared to the novice who has little knowledge of the technologies discussed and has read or thought little about their social impacts and their impacts on human identity. For that audience this book is worthy of a 4 star or so. For those with more extensive knowledge of the technologies and who has read and thought more on social impacts and issues of human identity the book has nothing novel or profound to say. For that audience 3 stars or so.

A last comment is in regard to the performance of the audiobook. It is not bad but nothing to shout about either though. Pretty much a three-star performance.

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Pragmatic and Balanced Examination of Human Enhancement Technologies
By Kevin Joseph
Our Grandchildren Redesigned offers a comprehensive and balanced look at the inevitable future of human enhancement. Unlike some futurists, who tend to approach these issues with a strong pro-enhancement or anti-enhancement bias, Michael Bess brings an unwaveringly pragmatic viewpoint to the subject matter. His thesis is that our best hope for integrating enhancements into our society, without creating undesirable gaps between the haves and have-nots, compromising our values, or losing touch with what it means to be human, is to create a worldwide regulatory framework that keeps tabs on enhancement technologies and ensures they progress in a measured and sensible way, ensuring access to basic enhancements by all and banning certain technologies that pose too great of a threat to our values. He effectively uses hypothetical scenarios to show how various types of genetic, pharmaceutical and bioelectric enhancements would impact our day-to-day lifestyles, and draws upon these examples to frame important questions about justice and identity.

While the challenges he identifies are daunting, and the solutions he proposes are often complex, in the end he leaves us with an optimistic message that the human race can influence its future evolution by making careful choices about what enhances and detracts from important human values. I can only hope that leaders in these fields read this book and consider its important message.

-Kevin Joseph, author of The Champion Maker

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Thinkers like Voltaire, Diderot
By john messerly
(from reasonandmeaning.com)

Vanderbilt University's Michael Bess has written an extraordinarily thoughtful new book: Our Grandchildren Redesigned: Life In The BioEngineered Society Of The Near Future. The first part of the book introduces the reader to the technologies that will enhance the physical, emotional, and intellectual abilities of our children and grandchildren: pharmaceuticals, bioelectronics, genetics, nanotechnology, robotics, artificial intelligence, synthetic biology, and virtual reality.

In the second part of the book Bess sets out the pro and cons of human enhancement. The arguments against bioenhancement are that doing so: 1) plays god or interferes with nature; 2) destroys the qualities that make us human; 3) subverts dignity by commodifying human traits; 4) displays hubris and robs life of its meaning; and 5) rejects the limitations that define humanity. In these multiple ways enhancement will lead to disaster. The arguments for bioenhancement are that doing so: 1) continues the long process of controlling ourselves and our world; 2) expresses our natural desires for new capabilities and richer experiences; 3) rejects the legacy of blind evolution and advocates directing the evolutionary process; 4) will reduce suffering and other constraints on our being; and 5) pursues our potential to be more than we are now, which is what gives life meaning.

Bess argues that the differences between the pro and anti-enhancement camps reflect the tension between conservative and romantic reactions to the Enlightenment. Thinkers like Voltaire, Diderot, Locke, and Kant emphasized progress and perfectibility combined with an optimism about human social and moral evolution. Progress could continue indefinitely, as humans used reason to unlock their inner potential. But conservatives like Edmund Burke saw human nature as limited and more fixed. Instead of progressive social evolution, they saw recurring patterns of greed and violence.

Bess suggests a via media between these two visions. He sees the human condition as characterized by change, innovation and novelty, as well as by continuity, preservation and order. Wisdom combines the two visions: "hope ... tempered by humility ... an attitude of openness to the future, chastened by the sobering lessons of past experience. The resulting moral maxim would be: embrace innovation, but proceed critically, incrementally, and cautiously in adopting it; explore new possibilities, but remain acutely cognizant of the historical track record as you go." Bess refers to his view as "chastened optimism." (78)

Chastened optimism considers various forms of enhancement on a case-by-case basis, but what moral framework should we use to make these assessments? SInce human beings differ regarding their moral beliefs, Bess argues that the best we can do is to combine the ancient concept of human flourishing with today's positive psychology and the "capabilities approach" in economic theory. Together these two fields have come to a consensus about the personal traits and social conditions that contribute to human flourishing, and Bess believes that this provides a framework for assessing enhancement technologies. The key factors in human flourishing from the individual perspective are: security; dignity; autonomy; personal fulfillment; authenticity; and pursuit of practical wisdom. From a societal perspective the key factors are: fairness; interpersonal connectedness; civic engagement; and transcendence. This framework helps us answer questions about whether a particular enhancement will or will not contribute to human flourishing, although in most cases the answer will not be straightforward.

Other questions will arise as well. Who gets enhanced? Will this create a new caste system? What of those who reject enhancement? Bess thinks it unlikely that first world democracies would tolerate a biological class system, and that violence may accompany the desire for universal access to enhancement technologies. As for those who reject these technologies, it is unclear whether the non-modified will be able to live peaceably beside the modified as the Amish do today. But when large numbers of individuals choose to adopt bioenhancement, there will be tremendous pressure on others to do so as well. But the implications are startling. By the end of this century non-modified humans will be at a distinct disadvantage. Given enough time, modified and non-modified humans will be different species.

In the third part of the book explores the more ethereal effects enhancements will have on individual humans. Do pharmaceuticals enhance our experiences by disconnecting us from reality? Do enhancements mechanize the self by eliminating the messy and unpredictable aspects of human experience? And if the answer is yes to these questions are enhancements worth the price?

Similar questions arise regarding moral enhancement. Suppose we can give people a "morality pill" to increase the likelihood that people would make ethical choices, an idea that is becoming increasingly realistic. This pill (or chemical we put in the water) wouldn't completely override free will; rather it would increase the proclivity toward altruism. Bess says we should reject the pill because intention is a large part of what makes an act moral and the pill too heavily influences moral intention. In short he believes that free will is worth the price of whatever negative outcomes follow from it. I think that this is a very large price to pay for an idea, free will, that may be illusory anyway. Still Bess maintains that moral enhancement, to the extent it undermines free will, removes moral meaning from the world. But I would reply that who cares about discarding the idea moral meaning if a better world would result. No doubt I am revealing my utilitarian preferences.

Other ethereal problems relating to human identity include: the possible monitoring and sharing of our intimate thoughts; the development of better virtual reality; and the extension of human lifespans. In addition enhancement technologies will bring about unforeseen consequences. What will be the future of sex, food, privacy, the arts, and war? No doubt the future will be weird in ways that are at present inconceivable. Bess thinks we should be a bit scared. "If you think your iPhone is a transformative device, just wait til they turn on your brain-machine interface." (174)

The last section of the book explores the ethical questions raised by the pursuit of human enhancement. How far should we go with enhancements? What modifications should embrace and which should we reject? Will we even have a say in determining such matters? What is generally better, modest or radical enhancements? What sorts of creatures do we want to become, and what sort do we to avoid becoming?

Bess doubts that we can "just say no" to these technologies for even if we did some would pursue them in a black market or in countries that approve of such technologies. Thus complete relinquishment of enhancement technologies is a non-starter. So the real question is whether we want to pursue enhancements at a low-level, increasing today's capabilities; at a mid-level, capabilities beyond today's levels but still recognized as human; or a high level, capabilities we would classify as transhuman or posthuman.

It is the transhumanist vision that Bess especially fears. He argues that you cannot have a radically expanded cognitive architecture with transforming identity. Such a consciousness would no longer be anything like the consciousness it used to be. Thus, to transform ourselves in this manner would be to terminate ourselves and become a new kind of sentient being. But we should not do this because of the potential for posthumans to harm others. "Until we know a great deal more than we do today about what such entities would be like ... it would be the height of folly and irresponsibility to proceed with the project of creating them ... The potential rewards are too uncertain, and the risks are far too great." Furthermore, the societal consequences of some of us becoming posthuman might tear the fabric of civilization apart.

While Bess admits that the temptation to pursue radical enhancements will be great, he counsels restraint. He hopes that as we adapt to low-level changes, we can gradually relax the constraints on mid-level and high-level ones. Of course he admits that enforcing these moratoriums would be difficult, and international cooperation would be difficult to achieve, but arms control provides a model of how this might be accomplished. Still trying to control technologies that may spell our doom is worth the effort. While we may not be able to control where enhancement technology leads, we can still influence the path it takes.

Bess' book is one of the most thoughtful meditations on the future that I have encountered. Moreover, the book is carefully and conscientiously crafted, and meticulously argued. He is impartial to the end, giving a fair hearing to contradictory arguments. In the end I would situate Bess' views a bit more toward the conservative side of the argument. While he is optimistic that we can muddle our way through the coming storm, which demands a large dose of optimism indeed, I sense more fear than excitement. I think Bess overestimates how good life is now, and underestimates how good it can be.

Bess concludes that in the future: "the most potent deed of all will still take the form of a smile, a silent nod of empathy, a hand gently laid on someone's arm. The merest act of kindness will still remain the Ultimate Enhancement." This is touching, and it reminds us that remaking the world demands more than just engineering. But Iet us hope that Bess doesn't mean this literally; let us hope that in the future we can do more for human suffering than smile, nod and touch. Let us hope that someday there will be more than just kindness to ameliorate the reality of our descendents.

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